It's Only the 1st Quarter Folks and Trump Is only up by a Touchdown

by Kim D.

I'm not a big football fan, but from what I can tell, to use a sport's analogy, after Super Tuesday, Trump is only up a touchdown and we've only made it through the first quarter of the game. Put it this way, if the Trump team is up 14-7 (and that is generous because at this point he doesn't have double the delegates of Ted Cruz), there is no reason to believe he is the inevitable winner of the Republican primary.

There is no reason to believe the Trump momentum continues as others get out of race (cough, cough, Carson and Kasich). The oppo research on Trump is staring to trickle in, and the groundswell against him is starting to coalesce (see #NeverTrump comments). It is becoming ever so clear that there is only one candidate that can best him in the primary: Ted Cruz. 

Just because Trump has won delegates in past states doesn't mean he will win as much in future states. Everything positive to know about Donald has been presented. Currently he is the undisputed front runner. We all have the brochure on how great a deal maker he is and that he knows how to win, despite his many business failures. 

However, think about one thing - what have you learned about Trump in the last two weeks that is good? No doubt that a third of the Republican voters will dig in their heels and vote Trump no matter what, but that will not win the game. 

Last night in his rather humble victory speech, he bragged about expanding the party and correctly noted that a good portion of his support has come from Democrats voting in the Republican primary. When we move to winner-take-all states, where Democrats cannot blur the lines, he gets zero delegates if he loses and the delegate gap closes quickly.

After March 15th, Trump could possibly have - at best - a 1/3 of the delegates he needs to win.  Now if you call the game at halftime, Trump wins - just understand this - he's only up by a touchdown and there's a lot more of the game left.